Alaska Gov. Dunleavy plans legislation intended to prevent natural gas shortage in Southcentral

The proposal would reduce or waive royalties on new gas basins in the area to encourage development

By: - October 26, 2023 3:39 pm
Alaska Gov. Mike Dunleavy addresses reporters in a news conference on Oct. 26, 2023, at the Atwood Building in Anchorage, Alaska. From the left, Anchorage Mayor Dave Bronson, Dunleavy, Natural Resources Commissioner John Boyle and Deputy Revenue Commissioner Fadil Limani. (Photo by Andrew Kitchenman/Alaska Beacon)

Alaska Gov. Mike Dunleavy addresses reporters in a news conference on Oct. 26, 2023, at the Atwood Building in Anchorage, Alaska. He announced a proposal aimed at heading off a natural gas production shortage in Southcentral Alaska. (Photo by Andrew Kitchenman/Alaska Beacon)

Facing an impending natural gas production shortage in Southcentral Alaska, Gov. Mike Dunleavy plans to reduce or waive state royalty payments on new gas basins, effectively subsidizing the cost of new drilling.

The governor announced his proposal, which will be introduced to the Alaska Legislature in January, during a news conference on Thursday in Anchorage.

“We’re pretty confident we can squeeze more gas out of the Inlet through this process,” Dunleavy said, referring to Cook Inlet.

The governor said he also expects to introduce legislation to boost other forms of energy development. The details of those proposals are not yet available.

Projections by the state and firms involved in the natural gas industry indicate that gas production from Cook Inlet may run short of demand in two to three years.

The governor said he believes the new legislation could deliver results in that timeframe. That may not be enough to avoid cost increases; the region’s electric co-operatives and companies are considering gas-delivery contracts right now.

The problem isn’t one of supply — Cook Inlet remains gas-rich — but one of development; Hilcorp and the area’s few other producers have been slow to drill new wells.

Alaska Department of Natural Resources Commissioner John Boyle address reporters at a news conference on Oct. 26, 2023, in the Atwood Building in Anchorage, Alaska. From right, Anchorage Mayor Dave Bronson, Gov. Mike Dunleavy, Boyle and Deputy Revenue Commissioner Fadil Limani. (Photo by Andrew Kitchenman/Alaska Beacon)
Alaska Department of Natural Resources Commissioner John Boyle addresses reporters at a news conference on Oct. 26, 2023, in the Atwood Building in Anchorage, Alaska. From the left, Anchorage Mayor Dave Bronson, Gov. Mike Dunleavy, Boyle and Deputy Revenue Commissioner Fadil Limani. (Photo by Andrew Kitchenman/Alaska Beacon)

The governor and Department of Natural Resources Commissioner John Boyle did not say that producers have committed to drill if the legislation becomes law, but said they think drilling is a likely outcome.

“We believe just through conversation, past practices, models occurring in other places, that if you reduce the royalty, it’s gas that becomes economical,” Dunleavy said.

In addition to production taxes, property taxes and the state’s corporate income tax, Alaska collects a share of gas and oil’s gross value of production because oil and gas is collectively owned by the state on behalf of its residents.

That share, known as the royalty, is generally between 12.5% and 16.67%. In Cook Inlet, the state collects about $60 million per year in royalties.

The governor’s proposal wouldn’t reduce that amount: It applies only to new basins.

The new proposal is similar to one already being used by Boyle. 

Earlier this month, Boyle unilaterally waived all royalties on a Cook Inlet lease sale under a provision of state law that allows him to do so if it’s deemed in the state’s best interest.

That provision applies only to existing oil and gas basins. The new legislation would allow the state to reduce the royalty on new basins as well.

Interest in Cook Inlet drilling has traditionally been low. A state-run lease sale last year returned only six bids.

The public is likely to know in December whether Boyle’s test of the relaxed-royalty system is successful. Bids will be open to the public on Dec. 13.

GET THE MORNING HEADLINES DELIVERED TO YOUR INBOX

Our stories may be republished online or in print under Creative Commons license CC BY-NC-ND 4.0. We ask that you edit only for style or to shorten, provide proper attribution and link to our website. AP and Getty images may not be republished. Please see our republishing guidelines for use of any other photos and graphics.

James Brooks
James Brooks

James Brooks is a longtime Alaska reporter, having previously worked at the Anchorage Daily News, Juneau Empire, Kodiak Mirror and Fairbanks Daily News-Miner. A graduate of Virginia Tech, he is married to Caitlyn Ellis, owns a house in Juneau and has a small sled dog named Barley. He can be contacted at [email protected].

Alaska Beacon is part of States Newsroom, the nation’s largest state-focused nonprofit news organization.

MORE FROM AUTHOR